fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. This is the final episode. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. It's a busy week! heritage commons university of utah. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. police- settlements. No place like 'Nam. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The State Of The Polls, 2016. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. 2,. 01:06 PM. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. 01:00 PM. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. . It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. 0:00:00 They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. send a tweet. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling.